Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2021 at 10.35am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Adelaide United3 - 1Macarthur
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
| 48.05% | 23.51% | 28.44% |
| Both teams to score 59.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
