Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 3-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.