Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.3%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 22.79% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.55%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.18%).