Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.35% (![]() | 20.46% (![]() | 29.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.85% (![]() | 26.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.59% (![]() | 46.4% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.86% (![]() | 11.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.42% (![]() | 35.57% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% (![]() | 19.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% (![]() | 50.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.5% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 7.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 6.39% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |