Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
41.26% | 24.44% | 34.31% |
Both teams to score 59.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.62% | 43.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.23% | 65.77% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% | 24.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% | 59.25% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |