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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 25, 2021 at 7.10am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Adelaide United

Wellington
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Waine (58'), Hemed (90+7' pen.)
Rufer (10'), McGarry (37'), Ball (65'), Devlin (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mauk (51')
Mauk (39'), Gauci (90+5'), Toure (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (5.37%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
43.79%22.03%34.17%
Both teams to score 68.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.44%31.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.95%53.05%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77%15.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.11%43.88%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72%19.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99%51.01%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 43.79%
    Adelaide United 34.17%
    Draw 22.03%
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-3 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 7.05%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-1 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.59%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 34.17%

How you voted: Wellington vs Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix
25.0%
Draw
30.0%
Adelaide United
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2020 8am
Gameweek 26
Wellington
1-1
Adelaide United
Sotirio (65')
Piscopo (45'), Fenton (90+1')
Fardal Opseth (60')
Elsey (34'), Gomulka (61'), Jakobsen (82'), Toure (85')
Dec 1, 2019 7am
Gameweek 8
Adelaide United
1-2
Wellington
Mileusnic (57')
Ball (67'), Davila (71' pen.)
Cacace (95')
Apr 7, 2019 8am
Gameweek 24
Adelaide United
3-1
Wellington
Marrone (10'), Stamatelopoulos (17', 44')
Goodwin (78')
Stamatelopoulos (45')
Sheridan (73')
Lowry (19'), Rufer (29'), Golec (60')
Jan 5, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 11
Adelaide United
0-0
Wellington
Jakobsen (58'), Lia (63'), Sanchez (65'), Galloway (92')
Durante (41'), Rufer (71'), Taylor (84')
Mandi (68')
Nov 24, 2018 6.35am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
1-3
Adelaide United
Mandi (14')
Rufer (62')
Doyle (45' og.), Ilso Larsen (47', 64')
Sanchez (84')
rhs 2.0
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