Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 25, 2021 at 7.10am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Waine (58'), Hemed (90+7' pen.)
Rufer (10'), McGarry (37'), Ball (65'), Devlin (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mauk (51')
Mauk (39'), Gauci (90+5'), Toure (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (5.37%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Adelaide United
43.79%	22.03%	34.17%

Both teams to score 68.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.44%

31.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.95%

53.05%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77%

15.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.11%

43.88%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72%

19.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99%

51.01%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 43.79%

Adelaide United 34.17%

Draw 22.03%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.56% 1-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-3 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.79%	1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.59% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.44% Total : 34.17%