Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.42%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.