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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Allianz Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Brisbane Roar
3 - 2
Newcastle Jets

O'Shea (61', 90' pen.), Markovski (82')
Aldred (13'), Lethlean (77'), Majok (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stamatelopoulos (18'), Cancar (65')
Stynes (49')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 6 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 5 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawNewcastle Jets
45.57% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 22.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 31.58% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.16% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.36%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.09% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 45.57%
    Newcastle Jets 31.58%
    Draw 22.85%
Brisbane RoarDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets

Brisbane Roar
33.3%
Draw
52.4%
Newcastle Jets
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8am
Gameweek 23
Brisbane Roar
3-0
Newcastle Jets
Hore (34'), O'Shea (70' pen.), Scepovic (90+2')
Jan 27, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Brisbane Roar
Sotirio (52'), Buhagiar (72'), Mikeltadze (76'), Goodwin (90+4')
Dec 16, 2022 8.45am
Apr 3, 2022 7.05am
Feb 3, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Freke (22' og.), Thurgate (70')
Hoffman (33'), Elsey (79'), Duncan (85')
Lescano (64')
Daley (45'), Brown (68'), Hingert (72'), Trewin (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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