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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 23, 2024 at 8am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Stamatelopoulos (29', 54'), Mauragis (57')
Grimaldi (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Majok (71')
Markovski (45'), Neville (58'), Zabala (75')
O'Shea (45+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-3 Macarthur
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
41.18% (-3.786 -3.79) 22.91% (0.403 0.4) 35.91% (3.384 3.38)
Both teams to score 65.48% (-0.444 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.41% (-1.017 -1.02)35.58% (1.017 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.36% (-1.133 -1.13)57.64% (1.134 1.13)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-1.904 -1.9)17.88% (1.904 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-3.38 -3.38)48.65% (3.381 3.38)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (1.276 1.28)20.26% (-1.276 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (1.996 2)52.61% (-1.997 -2)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 41.18%
    Brisbane Roar 35.91%
    Draw 22.91%
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-0 @ 6.24% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.514 -0.51)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.458 -0.46)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.374 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.297 -0.3)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.84% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.508 0.51)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.501 0.5)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.56 0.56)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.422 0.42)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.381 0.38)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.226 0.23)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.184 0.18)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.91%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 27
Brisbane Roar
3-2
Newcastle Jets
O'Shea (61', 90' pen.), Markovski (82')
Aldred (13'), Lethlean (77'), Majok (85')
Stamatelopoulos (18'), Cancar (65')
Stynes (49')
Apr 8, 2023 8am
Gameweek 23
Brisbane Roar
3-0
Newcastle Jets
Hore (34'), O'Shea (70' pen.), Scepovic (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Brisbane Roar
Sotirio (52'), Buhagiar (72'), Mikeltadze (76'), Goodwin (90+4')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 8
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Brisbane Roar
Mileusnic (80')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 7.05am
Gameweek 21
Brisbane Roar
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Hore (83'), Ivanovic (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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