Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.