Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.