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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Perth Oval
Brisbane Roar

Perth Glory
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Castro (40', 75'), Fornaroli (68')
Ingham (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hingert (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawBrisbane Roar
35.84%25.22%38.94%
Both teams to score 56.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26%46.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31%69%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59%25.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78%60.22%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14%57.86%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 35.84%
    Brisbane Roar 38.94%
    Draw 25.22%
Perth GloryDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.84%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.1%
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar

Perth Glory
61.8%
Draw
7.3%
Brisbane Roar
30.9%
55
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 6am
Gameweek 20
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Perth Glory
Gillesphey (85')
Hingert (63')
Fornaroli (33')
Mrcela (57'), Brimmer (61'), Grant (80')
Oct 13, 2019 8am
Gameweek 1
Perth Glory
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Ikonomidis (34')
Wilson (13'), Kilkenny (36'), Juande (87'), Fornaroli (95')
O'Donovan (95')
Neville (89')
Feb 16, 2019 11am
Gameweek 19
Perth Glory
4-0
Brisbane Roar
Davidson (19'), Keogh (35', 45'), Castro (54')
Dulbic (32'), Neville (48')
Jan 6, 2019 8am
Gameweek 11
Brisbane Roar
2-4
Perth Glory
Taggart (22', 40')
Pepper (29'), McKay (38'), Bautheac (51'), Hingert (53'), Reardon (81')
Bowles (57')
Kilkenny (59' pen., 81'), Reardon (85' og.), Keogh (87')
Franjic (90')
Nov 3, 2018 11am
Gameweek 3
Perth Glory
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Keogh (15'), O'Toole (63' og.)
Neville (78')
Mrcela (83')
Taggart (84' pen.)
Papadopoulos (37')
rhs 2.0
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