Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

May 30, 2021 at 4.35am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Hemed (25'), Sotirio (80')
Fenton (78'), Devlin (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fornaroli (61'), Timmins (74')
Lachman (52'), Timmins (65'), Aspropotamitis (82'), Fornaroli (89'), Castro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
47.26%	22.8%	29.94%

Both teams to score 63.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.68%

37.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.46%

59.54%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.81%

16.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.34%

45.66%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21%

58.79%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 47.26%

Perth Glory 29.94%

Draw 22.8%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.67% Total : 47.26%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.94%