Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
66.12% (![]() | 18.89% (![]() | 15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.15% (![]() | 37.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.9% (![]() | 60.1% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.34% (![]() | 10.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.48% (![]() | 34.52% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62% (![]() | 38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.24% (![]() | 74.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-0 @ 10.14% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.11% | 1-1 @ 8.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.89% | 1-2 @ 4.25% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.04% Total : 15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |