Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 17, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Whitten Oval
Western Utd0 - 3Wellington
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Utd 2-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Macarthur 2-1 Wellington
Sunday, February 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, February 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Western United 1-1 Wellington Phoenix
Neither of these two teams are in particularly strong form right now, and simply avoiding defeat is likely something that they will be hoping for. With that in mind, it would not be a surprise to see the two teams battle out a draw here to try and steady their seasons. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
36.56% ( 0.63) | 25.25% ( -0.23) | 38.19% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
