Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.