Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
61.72% ( 0.51) | 20.49% ( -0.11) | 17.79% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60% ( -0.18) | 40% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( -0.18) | 62.36% ( 0.18) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( 0.09) | 12.47% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.57% ( 0.19) | 38.43% ( -0.19) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% ( -0.55) | 35.93% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% ( -0.56) | 72.71% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.69% Total : 61.72% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Auckland FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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