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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Dec 21, 2022 at 8am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Central Coast
3 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Tulio (22'), Cummings (63'), N'Kololo (87' pen.)
Kaltack (24'), Steele (56'), N'Kololo (90'), Triantis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoffman (43'), Thurgate (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 17 at 6am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Newcastle Jets

 Newcastle Jets have struggled for form away from home, where they have managed just two wins in their last 12 matches since February. We predict that the Mariners will carry on with the momentum from last weekend's result against Sydney FC and claim another win in front of their home fans Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
55.7% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 22.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)41.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.012 -0.01)14.78% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)43.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (0.033999999999992 0.03)32.46% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (0.036999999999999 0.04)68.98% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 55.7%
    Newcastle Jets 22.1%
    Draw 22.19%
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.1%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Newcastle Jets

Central Coast Mariners
60.5%
Draw
23.3%
Newcastle Jets
16.3%
43
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 4am
Central Coast
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Cummings (53')
Buhagiar (12'), Mikeltadze (66')
Stynes (17')
May 7, 2022 10.45am
Central Coast
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Cummings (30'), N'Kololo (62')
Balard (49'), Urena (66')

Regan (8')
Apr 23, 2022 10.45am
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Central Coast
Mauragis (46'), Farrell (50' og.)
Jurman (22'), Elsey (55'), Penha (90+4')
Penha (90+6')
Moresche (19'), Cummings (30', 34'), Kuol (90+1')
Miller (69'), Birighitti (90+1')
Nov 21, 2021 5.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Central Coast
Yuel (78')
Penha (32')
Nisbet (50'), Farrell (57')
N'Kololo (21'), Farrell (49'), Birighitti (90+3')
Jun 1, 2021 10.05am
Central Coast
0-2
Newcastle Jets

Stensness (62')
O'Donovan (27'), Mauragis (33')
Mauragis (60'), Hoffman (85'), Topor-Stanley (86'), O'Doherty (88')
rhs 2.0
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