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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 13, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Central Coast Mariners

Macarthur
1 - 2
Central Coast

Millar (57')
Hollman (68'), Arabuli (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tulio (4'), Cummings (26')
Roux (53'), Tulio (62'), Ruhs (79'), Vukovic (87'), Triantis (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 8 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 1-2 Central Coast Mariners

Both of these teams are pushing at the top level of the A-League right now and are performing with confidence and quality which should create an intriguing game. Even though Macarthur won their most recent match, it is the visitors who bring the attacking qualities and should be the favourites here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
37.19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.34% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 38.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)64.93% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.42% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.09% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.45% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 37.19%
    Central Coast Mariners 38.47%
    Draw 24.34%
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.19%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.47%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Central Coast

Macarthur
25.5%
Draw
19.6%
Central Coast Mariners
54.9%
51
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 4am
Central Coast
2-3
Macarthur
Kuol (65' pen., 72')
Toure (14'), Aspropotamitis (48'), Drew (90+5')
Aspropotamitis (29')
Mar 19, 2022 6.05am
Central Coast
4-2
Macarthur
Urena (27', 82'), Hatch (48'), Smith (57')
Roux (64')
Mariappa (45+1'), Rose (88')
M'Mombwa (5'), Mutch (32'), Noone (90')
Feb 10, 2022 8.45am
Central Coast
3-3
Macarthur
Susnjar (40' og.), Bozanic (76' pen.), Moresche (86' pen.)
Farrell (33'), Nisbet (43')
Oar (25'), Mariappa (34'), Noone (90')
Susnjar (65'), Ruhs (68'), Najjar (74'), Mariappa (75'), McGing (90+2')
Dec 5, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
1-0
Central Coast
Bozanic (45' og.)
Uskok (48')

Tongyik (15'), Roux (31'), Steele (61'), Farrell (83')
Jun 12, 2021 10.05am
Central Coast
0-2
Macarthur

Hall (21'), Clisby (90+3')
Nigro (93' og.), Ruhs (120+1')
Milligan (37'), Martis (44'), M'Mombwa (95'), Susaeta (100'), Golec (106'), Ruhs (119')
Meredith (75')
rhs 2.0
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