Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
31.63% | 24.46% | 43.91% |
Both teams to score 58.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.68% | 44.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% | 66.69% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% | 26.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% | 62.05% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% | 20.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% | 52.68% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.53% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.63% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.87% Total : 43.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |