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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
May 2, 2021 at 7.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Victory
1 - 1
Central Coast

McManaman (62')
Roux (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simon (4')
De Silva (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
31.63%24.46%43.91%
Both teams to score 58.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68%44.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31%66.69%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95%62.05%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 31.63%
    Central Coast Mariners 43.91%
    Draw 24.46%
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.53%
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.63%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.93%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.91%

How you voted: Victory vs Central Coast

Melbourne Victory
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Central Coast Mariners
100%
5
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 8.10am
Gameweek 14
Central Coast
1-1
Victory
Urena (30')
Stensness (29'), Clisby (48')
McManaman (20')
McManaman (49'), Shotton (64'), Ansell (79')
Aug 3, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 26
Victory
2-3
Central Coast
Rojas (22', 65')
Barnett (72'), Athiu (90+1')
Fox (48'), Ruiz Diaz (85', 89')
Silvera (39'), Oar (51'), Simon (80')
Jan 12, 2020 7am
Gameweek 14
Central Coast
3-2
Victory
Murray (44'), Simon (94' pen., 100' pen.)
Duric (67'), Simon (96')
Dobras (8'), Rowles (78' og.)
Kruse (94'), Traore (96'), Broxham (97')
Kurz (111')
Apr 14, 2019 8am
Gameweek 25
Victory
2-1
Central Coast
Toivonen (21'), Niedermeier (79')
Kamsoba (3'), Toivonen (32')
Simon (53' pen.)
Feb 2, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 17
Central Coast
2-3
Victory
Hoole (18', 45')
Melling (12'), Simon (70'), Pain (72'), Karacan (87')
Troisi (50'), Kennedy (68' og.), Barbarouses (88')
Deng (17'), Broxham (45')
rhs 2.0
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FT
Steelers
19-24
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