MX23RW : Friday, November 22 22:27:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 23, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Macarthur

Victory
2 - 1
Macarthur

Romero (3'), Brooks (90+4')
Romero (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Uskok (66')
Uskok (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-1 Victory
Saturday, April 15 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Macarthur
Friday, April 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne Victory 1-1 Macarthur

Neither team has been in good form as of late, and considering how damaging a defeat could be for either club this game could lead to a cautious draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMacarthur
53.76% (0.346 0.35) 22.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.07% (-0.35 -0.35)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (-0.388 -0.39)39.13% (0.386 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (-0.408 -0.41)61.45% (0.407 0.41)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.4% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.6% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)42.69% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.492 -0.49)29.47% (0.49 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (-0.605 -0.61)65.48% (0.602 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 53.76%
    Macarthur 24.07%
    Draw 22.16%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 24.07%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 6am
gameweek 7
Macarthur
0-1
Victory

Noone (90+3')
Folami (84')
Apr 22, 2022 10.45am
gameweek 25
Macarthur
1-4
Victory
Noone (56' pen.)
Jovanovic (84'), Rose (90+2')
Folami (28'), Brimmer (53' pen.), Miranda (81'), Brillante (90+5')
Marchan (56'), D'Agostino (67')
Mar 4, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 17
Victory
3-1
Macarthur
D'Agostino (20', 45+2'), Rojas (58')
Geria (3'), Hamill (19'), Rojas (41'), Broxham (63')
Giannou (90')
Giannou (68')
May 14, 2021 10.05am
gameweek 16
Macarthur
3-1
Victory
Derbyshire (4', 89'), Meredith (39')
Derbyshire (65')
Kamsoba (78')
May 6, 2021 10.05am
gameweek 24
Victory
1-2
Macarthur
Kamsoba (23')
Kruse (85')
Susaeta (31'), Meredith (69')
Milligan (80'), Derbyshire (90+3')
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