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Adelaide United
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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Mar 4, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Docklands Stadium
Macarthur

Victory
3 - 1
Macarthur

D'Agostino (20', 45+2'), Rojas (58')
Geria (3'), Hamill (19'), Rojas (41'), Broxham (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Giannou (90')
Giannou (68')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Victory
Tuesday, May 17 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Victory vs. Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

Last Six:
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMacarthur
48.14%23.66%28.2%
Both teams to score 59.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48%42.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07%64.92%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16%17.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41%48.59%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84%28.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 48.14%
    Macarthur 28.2%
    Draw 23.66%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 48.14%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 6.37%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.2%

Head to Head
May 14, 2021 10.05am
Macarthur
3-1
Victory
Derbyshire (4', 89'), Meredith (39')
Derbyshire (65')
Kamsoba (78')
> Preview
May 6, 2021 10.05am
Victory
1-2
Macarthur
Kamsoba (23')
Kruse (85')
Susaeta (31'), Meredith (69')
Milligan (80'), Derbyshire (90+3')
> Preview
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