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Adelaide United
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Macarthur
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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Macarthur

Central Coast
4 - 1
Macarthur

McGarry (30'), Cummings (47', 63' pen.), Tulio (51')
Theoharous (8'), Roux (20'), McGarry (36'), Silvera (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Silva (11')
Arzani (34'), Hollman (62'), Susnjar (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Macarthur

 A closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend at the Glen Willow Stadium, and there is likely to be little to separate them. However, with the hosts having slightly more to play for right now, the added incentive and the home advantage could push them to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMacarthur
57.95% (0.216 0.22) 21.26% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 20.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.143 0.14)38.88% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (0.148 0.15)61.19% (-0.147 -0.15)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (0.111 0.11)13.21% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.05% (0.223 0.22)39.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)32.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.68% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 57.95%
    Macarthur 20.79%
    Draw 21.26%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Macarthur

Central Coast Mariners
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Macarthur
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 8.45am
Macarthur
1-2
Central Coast
Millar (57')
Hollman (68'), Arabuli (89')
Tulio (4'), Cummings (26')
Roux (53'), Tulio (62'), Ruhs (79'), Vukovic (87'), Triantis (89')
Nov 13, 2022 4am
Central Coast
2-3
Macarthur
Kuol (65' pen., 72')
Toure (14'), Aspropotamitis (48'), Drew (90+5')
Aspropotamitis (29')
Mar 19, 2022 6.05am
Central Coast
4-2
Macarthur
Urena (27', 82'), Hatch (48'), Smith (57')
Roux (64')
Mariappa (45+1'), Rose (88')
M'Mombwa (5'), Mutch (32'), Noone (90')
Feb 10, 2022 8.45am
Central Coast
3-3
Macarthur
Susnjar (40' og.), Bozanic (76' pen.), Moresche (86' pen.)
Farrell (33'), Nisbet (43')
Oar (25'), Mariappa (34'), Noone (90')
Susnjar (65'), Ruhs (68'), Najjar (74'), Mariappa (75'), McGing (90+2')
Dec 5, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
1-0
Central Coast
Bozanic (45' og.)
Uskok (48')

Tongyik (15'), Roux (31'), Steele (61'), Farrell (83')
rhs 2.0
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