Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Central Coast4 - 1Macarthur
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Macarthur
A closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend at the Glen Willow Stadium, and there is likely to be little to separate them. However, with the hosts having slightly more to play for right now, the added incentive and the home advantage could push them to edge this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
57.95% ( 0.22) | 21.26% ( -0.07) | 20.79% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
