Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Mar 11, 2023 at 6am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
4 - 1
Macarthur

McGarry (30'), Cummings (47', 63' pen.), Tulio (51')
Theoharous (8'), Roux (20'), McGarry (36'), Silvera (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

De Silva (11')
Arzani (34'), Hollman (62'), Susnjar (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Macarthur

A closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend at the Glen Willow Stadium, and there is likely to be little to separate them. However, with the hosts having slightly more to play for right now, the added incentive and the home advantage could push them to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Macarthur
57.95% ( 0.22)	21.26% ( -0.07)	20.79% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 58.85% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12% (

0.14)

38.88% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.8% (

0.15)

61.19% (

-0.15)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.79% (

0.11)

13.21% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.05% (

0.22)

39.95% (

-0.22)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

-0.05)

32.19% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.32% (

-0.06)

68.68% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 57.95%

Macarthur 20.79%

Draw 21.26%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 57.95%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.26%	1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 20.79%