Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
16.56% (![]() | 19.07% (![]() | 64.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.52% (![]() | 35.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.48% (![]() | 57.51% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% (![]() | 34.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.71% (![]() | 71.29% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% (![]() | 10.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.01% (![]() | 33.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 4.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 16.56% | 1-1 @ 8.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.07% | 1-2 @ 9.78% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 4.02% Total : 64.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |