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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 11, 2022 at 6am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Melbourne Victory

Macarthur
0 - 1
Victory


Noone (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Folami (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 13 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Victory
Friday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 2-1 Melbourne Victory

At the moment, Melbourne look a little unsettled when defending away from home, taking too long to get into a game, and although Macarthur have been inconsistent, they have shown a lot more quality in the attacking third this season when compared to their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
25.78% (-0.727 -0.73) 22.83% (-0.121 -0.12) 51.38% (0.847 0.85)
Both teams to score 59.77% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)40.57% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)62.95% (0.067 0.07)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.578 -0.58)28.91% (0.578 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (-0.724 -0.72)64.79% (0.724 0.72)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (0.277 0.28)15.91% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (0.505 0.51)45.16% (-0.505 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 25.78%
    Melbourne Victory 51.38%
    Draw 22.83%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.51% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 25.78%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.105 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.76% (0.146 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.72% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.087 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.38%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Victory

Macarthur
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Melbourne Victory
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2022 10.45am
Macarthur
1-4
Victory
Noone (56' pen.)
Jovanovic (84'), Rose (90+2')
Folami (28'), Brimmer (53' pen.), Miranda (81'), Brillante (90+5')
Marchan (56'), D'Agostino (67')
Mar 4, 2022 8.45am
Victory
3-1
Macarthur
D'Agostino (20', 45+2'), Rojas (58')
Geria (3'), Hamill (19'), Rojas (41'), Broxham (63')
Giannou (90')
Giannou (68')
May 14, 2021 10.05am
May 6, 2021 10.05am
Victory
1-2
Macarthur
Kamsoba (23')
Kruse (85')
Susaeta (31'), Meredith (69')
Milligan (80'), Derbyshire (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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