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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2023 at 10.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Macarthur

Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Macarthur

Jurman (79'), O'Neill (90+5')
Aquilina (5'), Piscopo (9'), Jurman (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arabuli (90+2')
Jones (37'), Skotadis (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 8 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Macarthur

Both sides are struggling for form and in the midst of winless runs, but Macarthur's display against Western Sydney Wanderers was encouraging, and we back them to come out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
52.44% (-0.101 -0.1) 21.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.62% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 62.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (0.041000000000004 0.04)36.49% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.044000000000004 0.04)58.63% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)14.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (0.115 0.12)62.17% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 52.44%
    Macarthur 25.62%
    Draw 21.94%
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur

Newcastle Jets
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Macarthur
64.3%
28
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 7am
Macarthur
0-1
Newcastle Jets

Susnjar (83')
Buhagiar (8')
Ingham (44'), Al-Taay (53'), Duncan (76')
Jan 8, 2023 4am
Macarthur
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Toure (43'), Davila (78')
Millar (34'), M'Mombwa (41'), Kurto (45'), Carter (88')

Timmins (32'), Al-Taay (60')
May 1, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
0-3
Newcastle Jets

De Silva (3'), Noone (84')
Siatravanis (4'), Yuel (66'), Mikeltadze (73')
Thurgate (34')
Feb 26, 2022 6.05am
Newcastle Jets
2-2
Macarthur
Mikeltadze (32' pen.), Babalj (79')
Hoffman (25'), Ingham (47')
Uskok (21'), Oar (60')
Uskok (12'), Rose (26'), Oar (53'), Ruhs (90+4')
Dec 19, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
2-1
Newcastle Jets
De Silva (48'), Meredith (84')
Noone (38'), M'Mombwa (45+2'), Uskok (51'), Najjar (78'), Rose (90+1')
Kurto (18')
rhs 2.0
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