Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2024 at 9.45am UK
Marvel Stadium
Victory2 - 1Melbourne City
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, March 31 at 5am in Australian A-League
Sunday, March 31 at 5am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Melbourne City
Tuesday, April 2 at 9am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, April 2 at 9am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
45.18% ( -0.04) | 22.08% ( -0) | 32.74% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 67.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
