Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 19 at 7am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 19 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 0-0 Victory
Friday, October 18 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Friday, October 18 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
41.64% ( -0.16) | 24.76% ( -0.04) | 33.6% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.26) | 45.04% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.25) | 67.39% ( -0.25) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.03) | 21.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.22% ( 0.05) | 54.77% ( -0.05) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.25) | 25.91% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.09% ( 0.33) | 60.9% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne City 41.64%
Melbourne Victory 33.6%
Draw 24.76%
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.6% |
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 8am
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Victory win 3-2 on penalties)
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Apr 5, 2023 10am
Form Guide
