Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 6, 2025 at 8am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets1 - 2Wellington
Oluwayemi (65' og.)
Mizunuma (83')
Mizunuma (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Friday, March 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Friday, March 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 29 at 4am in Australian A-League
Saturday, March 29 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
49.9% ( 0.76) | 22.21% ( -0.06) | 27.89% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 64.02% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.17% ( -0.2) | 35.83% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.09% ( -0.22) | 57.91% ( 0.22) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( 0.18) | 14.71% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.1% ( 0.35) | 42.9% ( -0.35) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.56) | 24.94% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.78) | 59.57% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets 49.9%
Wellington Phoenix 27.89%
Draw 22.21%
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.89% |
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 4am
Apr 19, 2024 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Wellington
Jan 27, 2024 7am
Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Wellington
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 7
Wellington
0-3
Newcastle Jets
Mar 4, 2023 2am
Form Guide
