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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Mar 29, 2025 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Wellington
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Piper (21'), Geraldes (69')
Geraldes (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kraev (36'), Milanovic (89')
Borrello (84')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Wellington
Sunday, March 16 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-2 Victory
Saturday, March 15 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
26.1% (-0.168 -0.17) 23% (0.219 0.22) 50.89% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.49% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.91% (-1.173 -1.17)41.09% (1.168 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-1.203 -1.2)63.48% (1.199 1.2)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.747 -0.75)28.94% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (-0.932 -0.93)64.83% (0.928 0.93)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.449 -0.45)16.28% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.17% (-0.816 -0.82)45.83% (0.811 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 26.1%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 50.89%
    Draw 23%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.84% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 26.1%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.246 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.323 0.32)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.7% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.89%

Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 6am
Gameweek 9
Western Sydney
4-1
Wellington
Sapsford (1'), Kraev (9'), Antonsson (66'), Scicluna (90+4')
Ishige (59')
Dec 23, 2023 4.30am
Gameweek 9
Wellington
2-0
Western Sydney
Barbarouses (90+1'), Old (90+4')
Rufer (31')

Milanovic (75')
Oct 22, 2023 5am
Apr 21, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Western Sydney
4-0
Wellington
Borrello (9'), Nieuwenhof (31'), Simmons (65'), Yengi (87')
Dec 10, 2022 6am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC21136241202145
2Western UnitedWestern Utd21115546301638
3Melbourne CityMelbourne City21114630201037
4Melbourne VictoryVictory2210663830836
5Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney21105649361335
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United219664645133
7Sydney FCSydney FC2186744341030
8Macarthur228594137429
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets217593337-426
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2251072640-1425
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2156102133-1221
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2025132340-1711
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2225151551-3611


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