Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.