Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.