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Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Auckland FC
6 - 1
Wellington

Moreno (31', 36', 60'), Rogerson (40', 80'), Randall (90+3')
Pijnaker (2'), Howieson (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Brooke-Smith (49')
Piper (59'), Hughes (88')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, February 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-0 Wellington
Friday, February 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
51.82% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.26% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (0.094000000000001 0.09)46.87% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (0.088000000000001 0.09)69.12% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.08% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)49.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.15900000000001 0.16)33.52% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.171 0.17)70.16% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 51.81%
    Wellington Phoenix 24.26%
    Draw 23.92%
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.26%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 4am
Gameweek 7
Auckland FC
2-1
Wellington
Hughes (31' og.), Pijnaker (70')
Howieson (53')
Barbarouses (82')
Ishige (17'), Sutton (43'), Retre (50'), Barbarouses (67'), Rufer (78'), Italiano (88')
Nov 2, 2024 4am
Gameweek 3
Wellington
0-2
Auckland FC
Brimmer (89', 90+6')
Verstraete (57'), Moreno (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC20126239201942
2Western UnitedWestern Utd21115546301638
3Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney20104647341334
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City2010462718934
5Melbourne VictoryVictory219663327633
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United209654340333
7Sydney FCSydney FC2086642311130
8Macarthur218493834428
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets207493034-425
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2141072339-1622
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2055101931-1220
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1925122338-1511
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2125141448-3411


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