MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 16:19:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Victory
1 - 0
Wellington

Vergos (57')
Vergos (58'), Rawlins (65'), Langerak (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sheridan (75'), Sutton (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-0 Victory
Saturday, February 8 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, February 6 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
56.65% (0.719 0.72) 22% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 21.34% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.779 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (-0.578 -0.58)41.6% (0.578 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (-0.587 -0.59)64% (0.587 0.59)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (0.036000000000001 0.04)14.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (0.067 0.07)42.52% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (-0.93900000000001 -0.94)33.23% (0.939 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (-1.047 -1.05)69.83% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 56.65%
    Wellington Phoenix 21.34%
    Draw 22%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.252 0.25)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.171 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 56.65%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Victory vs Wellington

Melbourne Victory
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Wellington Phoenix
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 2.30am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Barbarouses (82')
Rufer (62')

Bos (30')
May 18, 2024 7.30am
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (90+9')
Salas (90+1')
Traore (82'), Ikonomidis (102')
Arzani (30'), Chapman (97')
May 12, 2024 7am
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Surman (90+5' og.)
Payne (31'), Ball (65')

Monge (34'), Da Silva (90+1')
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC20126239201942
2Western UnitedWestern Utd21115546301638
3Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney20104647341334
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City2010462718934
5Melbourne VictoryVictory219663327633
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United209654340333
7Sydney FCSydney FC2086642311130
8Macarthur218493834428
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets207493034-425
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2141072339-1622
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2055101931-1220
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1925122338-1511
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2125141448-3411


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