Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
56.65% (![]() | 22% (![]() | 21.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.39% (![]() | 41.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.99% (![]() | 64% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% (![]() | 14.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.48% (![]() | 42.52% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% (![]() | 33.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% (![]() | 69.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 10.25% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |