Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 4, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington2 - 1Newcastle Jets
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Wellington
Friday, February 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, February 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Western Utd
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-0 Newcastle Jets
Despite the goal-laden reputation of Sky Stadium, Saturday's lunchtime match may be a cagey affair as two direct rivals in a fiercely competitive race for the playoff spots meet with the Phoenix, back on home soil for the first time since January, boasting a slight edge against this shot-shy Jets side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wellington Phoenix.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
46.56% ( 0.3) | 23.96% ( -0.04) | 29.49% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.92% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
