Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Apr 23, 2023 at 9am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
4 - 4
Adelaide United

Williams (32'), Taggart (60', 90+6'), Zimarino (90+3')
Amini (43'), Burke-Gilroy (44'), Taggart (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jovanovic (34'), Goodwin (51'), Kitto (78'), Irankunda (90+9')
Sanchez (56'), Goodwin (89'), Irankunda (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 16 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Western Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Adelaide United

This game might mean a lot more to Perth Glory in terms of securing a place in the finals series, as this is a must not lose match, but the visitors could be here to spoil that as their quality should be too much fo the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Adelaide United
35.91% ( -0.29)	22.93% ( 0.14)	41.16% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 65.39% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.3% (

-0.75)

35.7% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.24% (

-0.83)

57.76% (

0.82)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68% (

-0.48)

20.32% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.3% (

-0.77)

52.69% (

0.76)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.25)

17.93% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.25% (

-0.43)

48.75% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 35.91%

Adelaide United 41.16%

Draw 22.93%

Perth Glory	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.91%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 41.16%