Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.91% ( -0.29) | 22.93% ( 0.14) | 41.16% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 65.39% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.3% ( -0.75) | 35.7% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.24% ( -0.83) | 57.76% ( 0.82) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( -0.48) | 20.32% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% ( -0.77) | 52.69% ( 0.76) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( -0.25) | 17.93% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( -0.43) | 48.75% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 41.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |