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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 23, 2023 at 9am UK
nib Stadium
Adelaide United

Perth Glory
4 - 4
Adelaide United

Williams (32'), Taggart (60', 90+6'), Zimarino (90+3')
Amini (43'), Burke-Gilroy (44'), Taggart (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jovanovic (34'), Goodwin (51'), Kitto (78'), Irankunda (90+9')
Sanchez (56'), Goodwin (89'), Irankunda (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 16 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Western Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 8am in Australian A-League

We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Adelaide United

This game might mean a lot more to Perth Glory in terms of securing a place in the finals series, as this is a must not lose match, but the visitors could be here to spoil that as their quality should be too much fo the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
35.91% (-0.293 -0.29) 22.93% (0.138 0.14) 41.16% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 65.39% (-0.59 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3% (-0.747 -0.75)35.7% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.24% (-0.828 -0.83)57.76% (0.824 0.82)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)20.32% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (-0.767 -0.77)52.69% (0.763 0.76)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.25 -0.25)17.93% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (-0.428 -0.43)48.75% (0.423 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 35.91%
    Adelaide United 41.16%
    Draw 22.93%
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.134 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 41.16%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Adelaide United

Perth Glory
13.3%
Draw
13.3%
Adelaide United
73.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 8.45am
Oct 30, 2022 4am
gameweek 4
Adelaide United
2-1
Perth Glory
Goodwin (18'), Ibusuki (22')
Warland (26')
Colli (32')
Apr 24, 2022 8.05am
gameweek 6
Adelaide United
2-0
Perth Glory
Oliveira (24'), Irankunda (90+4')
Brook (45')
Mar 6, 2022 8.05am
gameweek 17
Perth Glory
1-2
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (90' pen.)
Fornaroli (28')
Ibusuki (45+1'), Toure (59')
Barr (28'), Tratt (54'), Ibusuki (69')
Nov 20, 2021 11.05am
gameweek 1
Perth Glory
1-1
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (40')
Stynes (79'), Ota (90+5')
Yengi (22')
Sanchez (79')
rhs 2.0
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