Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Adelaide United in this match.