Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 17, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Adelaide United5 - 1Wellington
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, March 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, March 12 at 2am in Australian A-League
Sunday, March 12 at 2am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Adelaide United 3-0 Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix will certainly head to Hindmarsh Stadium with plenty of confidence behind themselves and they will provide a stern test on Friday. However, the consistent results and strong attacking play that Adelaide United have displayed as of late should see them come out on top here to keep their title hunt alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
46.74% ( -1.34) | 23.07% ( 0.01) | 30.18% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 62.53% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
