Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.