Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 2-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.55% ( 0.25) | 21.16% ( -0.03) | 43.29% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 72.35% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.33% ( 0.22) | 26.67% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.93% ( 0.29) | 47.07% ( -0.28) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( 0.21) | 16.39% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% ( 0.38) | 46.03% ( -0.38) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0.02) | 13.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% ( 0.03) | 40.46% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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