Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.