Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 31, 2024 at 5am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Fornaroli (16', 53')
Velupillay (90+1'), Izzo (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bennie (61')
Stajcic (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Victory
Thursday, March 14 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Perth Glory
59.14% ( 0.66)	20.9% ( -0.15)	19.96% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.61% (

-0.06)

38.39% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.33% (

-0.07)

60.67% (

0.07)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.3% (

0.17)

12.7% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.09% (

0.35)

38.91% (

-0.35)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3% (

-0.53)

32.7% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75% (

-0.6)

69.26% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 59.14%

Perth Glory 19.96%

Draw 20.9%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.82% Total : 59.14%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.96%