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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Dec 5, 2021 at 7.45am UK
Docklands Stadium
Perth Glory

Victory
0 - 3
Perth Glory


Marchan (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burke-Gilroy (66'), Bramwell (74'), Fornaroli (88')
Ota (15'), Fornaroli (45+6'), Niyongabire (78')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
32.28%25.26%42.47%
Both teams to score 55.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35%47.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15%69.85%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37%63.64%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13%55.88%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 32.28%
    Perth Glory 42.47%
    Draw 25.26%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.47%

Head to Head
May 9, 2021 9.10am
Gameweek 5
Perth Glory
2-1
Victory
Fornaroli (52'), Ikonomidis (56')
Timmins (24'), Ota (34')
Gestede (79')
Kruse (75')
Ansell (48')
Jan 26, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 19
Victory
2-1
Perth Glory
Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')
Aug 8, 2020 8am
Gameweek 25
Perth Glory
0-4
Victory

Fornaroli (51'), Elrich (59'), Lia (90')
Rojas (29', 69'), Nabbout (60' pen.), Kamsoba (90+2')
Rojas (26'), Kirdar (44')
Feb 1, 2020 10.45am
Gameweek 17
Perth Glory
2-2
Victory
Fornaroli (45'), D'Agostino (90')
Mrcela (21'), Grant (36'), Fornaroli (92')
Toivonen (23'), Nabbout (59')
Nov 29, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 8
Victory
1-0
Perth Glory
Kruse (33')
Toivonen (28')

Meredith (20'), Ikonomidis (58'), Castro (76')
rhs 2.0
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