Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.41% ( 0.02) | 18.34% ( 0.02) | 64.26% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 63.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.83% ( -0.04) | 30.17% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.6% ( -0.05) | 51.4% ( 0.05) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% | 30.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% ( -0) | 66.48% ( 0) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.03% ( -0.02) | 8.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.41% ( -0.05) | 30.59% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% 2-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.41% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 4.32% Total : 64.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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