MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:34:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Melbourne Victory

Macarthur
1 - 1
Victory

Millar (12')
Aspropotamitis (7'), Davila (43'), Sterjovski (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicolaou (90+5' og.)
Da Silva (42'), Traore (53'), Arzani (66')
Traore (62')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
38.99% (-0.381 -0.38) 23.54% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 37.47% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 63.24% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (0.30099999999999 0.3)38.57% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.13% (0.32 0.32)60.86% (-0.319 -0.32)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)20.11% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)52.37% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.348 0.35)20.83% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (0.545 0.55)53.51% (-0.546 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 38.99%
    Melbourne Victory 37.47%
    Draw 23.54%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.63% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.045 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.47%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Gameweek 25
Victory
2-1
Macarthur
> Preview
Dec 11, 2022 6am
Gameweek 7
Macarthur
0-1
Victory
Folami (84')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Macarthur
1-4
Victory
Noone (56' pen.)
Jovanovic (84'), Rose (90+2')
Folami (28'), Brimmer (53' pen.), Miranda (81'), Brillante (90+5')
Marchan (56'), D'Agostino (67')
Mar 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Victory
3-1
Macarthur
D'Agostino (20', 45+2'), Rojas (58')
Geria (3'), Hamill (19'), Rojas (41'), Broxham (63')
Giannou (90')
Giannou (68')
May 14, 2021 10.05am
Gameweek 16
Macarthur
3-1
Victory
Derbyshire (4', 89'), Meredith (39')
Derbyshire (65')
Kamsoba (78')
> Preview
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