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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 6, 2022 at 12.05pm UK
Perth Oval
Melbourne Victory

Perth Glory
0 - 1
Victory


Timmins (28'), Colli (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Margiotta (57')
Davidson (46'), Marchan (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
38.97%25.95%35.08%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97%72.03%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05%59.95%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.89%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 38.97%
    Melbourne Victory 35.08%
    Draw 25.94%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.94%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.08%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 7.45am
Victory
0-3
Perth Glory

Marchan (45+3')
Burke-Gilroy (66'), Bramwell (74'), Fornaroli (88')
Ota (15'), Fornaroli (45+6'), Niyongabire (78')
May 9, 2021 9.10am
Perth Glory
2-1
Victory
Fornaroli (52'), Ikonomidis (56')
Timmins (24'), Ota (34')
Gestede (79')
Kruse (75')
Ansell (48')
Jan 26, 2021 8.05am
Victory
2-1
Perth Glory
Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')
Aug 8, 2020 8am
Perth Glory
0-4
Victory

Fornaroli (51'), Elrich (59'), Lia (90')
Rojas (29', 69'), Nabbout (60' pen.), Kamsoba (90+2')
Rojas (26'), Kirdar (44')
Feb 1, 2020 10.45am
Perth Glory
2-2
Victory
Fornaroli (45'), D'Agostino (90')
Mrcela (21'), Grant (36'), Fornaroli (92')
Toivonen (23'), Nabbout (59')
rhs 2.0
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