Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.