Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.