We said: Sydney FC 0-1 Macarthur
Macarthur have defended superbly this season and have an decent record on the road, winning eight of their last 16 away fixtures.
While Sydney were competitive in the first half against the Mariners last weekend, they will have difficulties stopping a Macarthur attacking force in fine form.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.