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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 24, 2022 at 6am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Macarthur

Sydney FC
0 - 3
Macarthur


Donachie (51')
Lolley (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arabuli (45+1', 89'), Davila (71')
Hollman (45'), M'Mombwa (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 17 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 0-1 Macarthur

Macarthur have defended superbly this season and have an decent record on the road, winning eight of their last 16 away fixtures. While Sydney were competitive in the first half against the Mariners last weekend, they will have difficulties stopping a Macarthur attacking force in fine form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMacarthur
48.47% (-0.755 -0.75) 23.21% (0.187 0.19) 28.32% (0.565 0.57)
Both teams to score 60.72% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.477 -0.48)40.33% (0.474 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-0.493 -0.49)62.7% (0.489 0.49)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)16.88% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (-0.819 -0.82)46.9% (0.816 0.82)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (0.14500000000001 0.15)26.96% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (0.189 0.19)62.29% (-0.192 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 48.47%
    Macarthur 28.32%
    Draw 23.21%
Sydney FCDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.103 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.32%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Macarthur

Sydney FC
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Macarthur
50.0%
48
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 9.45am
Macarthur
2-3
Sydney FC
Millar (16'), Carter (87')
Wood (14'), Mak (45+1'), Segecic (83')
Yazbek (25')
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
Sydney FC
2-2
Macarthur
Buhagiar (39'), Susnjar (53' og.)
Heward-Belle (7'), Caceres (43'), Warland (71'), Donachie (82')
Davila (8' pen.), Susnjar (26')
McGing (50'), Meredith (73'), Hollman (75')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Macarthur
0-3
Sydney FC
Wood (11'), Burgess (29'), Buhagiar (59')
Van Der Saag (71')
Nov 27, 2021 8.45am
Sydney FC
0-1
Macarthur

le Fondre (73'), Caceres (79')
Rose (17')
Susnjar (68'), Rose (79'), Uskok (87'), Najjar (90+5')
Feb 28, 2021 5.05am
Sydney FC
0-1
Macarthur

Van Der Saag (90+1')
Retre (39')
Derbyshire (36')
Golec (24'), Martis (47')
rhs 2.0
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