Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
30% | 24.95% | 45.06% |
Both teams to score 55.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.78% | 47.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.55% | 69.45% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% | 29.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% | 65.26% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% | 21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.23% | 53.77% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
1-0 @ 7.55% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |