Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
25.2% | 23.32% | 51.48% |
Both teams to score 57.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.65% | 43.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.25% | 65.74% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% | 30.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% | 67.12% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% | 16.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% | 46.94% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.41% 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.2% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 5.74% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Auckland FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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