Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Mar 26, 2022 at 6.05am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Waine (37'), Pennington (90+7')
Fenton (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fitzgerald (49')
Malik (47'), Timmins (64')
Malik (53')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
45.65%	25.25%	29.1%

Both teams to score 54.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.08%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53%

21.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.49%

54.51%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17%

30.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89%

67.11%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 45.64%

Perth Glory 29.1%

Draw 25.25%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.1%