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Wellington Phoenix
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Western United
Western United
Australian A-League
May 14, 2022 at 10.45am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Western Utd
1 - 0
Wellington

Prijovic (10')
Imai (37'), Milanovic (87'), Bozinovski (90+3'), Pain (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (51')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
53.64%22.84%23.51%
Both teams to score 57.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15%42.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74%65.25%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05%15.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78%45.22%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02%31.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56%68.43%
Score Analysis
    Western United 53.65%
    Wellington Phoenix 23.51%
    Draw 22.84%
Western UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 6%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 53.65%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 23.51%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 5.05am
Western Utd
1-4
Wellington
Lustica (54')
Prijovic (34'), Lacroix (47')
Wootton (29'), Sotirio (32', 63'), Sandoval (45+2' pen.)
Sandoval (21'), Elliot (84')
Jan 21, 2022 8.45am
Wellington
2-1
Western Utd
Sandoval (16'), Hooper (35')
Lustica (90+4')
Lustica (6'), Risdon (57')
Imai (90+1')
May 22, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
3-0
Western Utd
Lewis (38'), Piscopo (57'), Hemed (63')
Devlin (31'), Waine (90+2'), Lewis (90+3')
Apr 22, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
1-1
Wellington
Wales (27')
Uskok (10'), Hamill (24'), Durante (40'), Sanchez (53'), Scott (90+4')
Hamill (45+2')
Waine (7')
Taylor (21'), Sotirio (25'), Ball (69')
Apr 11, 2021 10.05am
Wellington
3-2
Western Utd
Davila (45+1' pen.), Sotirio (53'), Waine (90')
Berisha (32' pen.), Guarrotxena (56')
Berisha (57'), Duzel (68')
rhs 2.0
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