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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Mar 9, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Newcastle Jets

Wellington
3 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Sotirio (25' pen.), Waine (45+1'), Ball (88')
Laws (5'), Sutton (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Penha (42'), Boumal (63')
Jurman (24'), Siatravanis (40'), O'Doherty (76'), Murnane (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

Last Six:
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
39.62%24.7%35.68%
Both teams to score 58.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65%44.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28%66.72%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2%55.8%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2%58.79%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 39.62%
    Newcastle Jets 35.68%
    Draw 24.69%
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.64%
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')

Lewis (45+1'), Elliot (50'), Ball (78')
Feb 28, 2021 7.10am
Newcastle Jets
0-2
Wellington

Millar (52'), O'Toole (58'), Koutroumbis (76')
Ball (22'), Waine (53')
Laws (36'), Rufer (67'), Hemed (75'), Sail (90+3')
Jan 24, 2021 7.10am
Wellington
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')
Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')
Aug 13, 2020 10.30am
Newcastle Jets
3-0
Wellington
Fitzgerald (45'), Ibini-Isei (76'), Hoffman (79')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')

DeVere (9')
Jan 24, 2020 6.15am
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Sotirio (53'), Davila (69')
Taylor (73')
Arroyo (66')
Millar (61')
rhs 2.0
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