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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Mar 9, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Newcastle Jets

Wellington
3 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Sotirio (25' pen.), Waine (45+1'), Ball (88')
Laws (5'), Sutton (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Penha (42'), Boumal (63')
Jurman (24'), Siatravanis (40'), O'Doherty (76'), Murnane (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
39.62%24.7%35.68%
Both teams to score 58.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65%44.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28%66.72%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2%55.8%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2%58.79%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 39.62%
    Newcastle Jets 35.68%
    Draw 24.69%
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.64%
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')

Lewis (45+1'), Elliot (50'), Ball (78')
Feb 28, 2021 7.10am
Newcastle Jets
0-2
Wellington

Millar (52'), O'Toole (58'), Koutroumbis (76')
Ball (22'), Waine (53')
Laws (36'), Rufer (67'), Hemed (75'), Sail (90+3')
Jan 24, 2021 7.10am
Wellington
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')
Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')
Aug 13, 2020 10.30am
Jan 24, 2020 6.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC19125237181941
2Western UnitedWestern Utd20105540281235
3Melbourne CityMelbourne City19104527171034
4Melbourne VictoryVictory209653123833
5Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United199643935433
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney1994643321131
7Sydney FCSydney FC1985641301129
8Macarthur207493330325
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets186482728-122
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast204972137-1621
11Wellington PhoenixWellington1954101830-1219
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2025131345-3211
13Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1815122037-178


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